BINANCE – A CRYPTO EXCHANGE ANALYSIS – Binance Review

Binance Review

Binance Review, Binance is a cryptocurrency exchange that was founded in Hong Kong in 2017, and has rapidly grown into the world’s largest crypto exchange based on trading volume. The initial growth and popularity of the platform were so impressive that they had to temporarily suspend registrations in January 2018 so that they could keep up with demand. Today, it offers customers a highly well-established range of more than 40+ fiat currencies and 300+ cryptocurrencies with no deposit fees and highly competitive trading fees (up to 0.1%), all of this applies worldwide – where applicable.

The most important features and benefits of Binance

It has so many features that make it one of the most popular crypto exchanges in the world. Here’s a list of Binance’s best features:

  • Extremely low 0.1% fees, with discounts if you pay with BNB;
  • More than 300+ different cryptocurrencies for purchase, sale or trade;
  • Android and iOS mobile apps are available;
  • Advanced, classic and basic trading platforms to suit your needs
  • Do more with Binance Earn – increase your crypto;
  • Binance Visa Card – spend your cryptos anywhere with a card
  • P2P exchange – trade directly with others on your own terms
  • Binance Loan allows users to borrow crypto
  • NFT marketplace for buying and selling NFTs
  • Margin trading with leverage of up to 10x
  • Futures and derivatives trading

BINANCE REGISTRATION

What services does Binance offer?

If you’ve done some research on the best crypto exchanges, you’ve probably found that there are many options, making it difficult to decide which exchange platform to choose. With this in mind, we’ll help you work out the suitability of Binance by explaining the best services it has to offer to see if this is the right exchange for you.

More than 300+ different cryptocurrency purchases, sales or trades

Binance offers over 300+ different cryptocurrencies, making it one of the most comprehensive offerings in the world. As the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange based on trading volume, you know liquidity will be high, so you will be able to buy and sell (almost)any coin on their platform with ease. The native token here is Binance Coin (BNB).

Below are the latest figures:

Binance Review,
$BNB Chart

Android and iOS mobile apps

Binance has an excellent application, making everything easy for beginners. The ease that this platform affords its users also suits advanced traders by simplifying processes. Within their corresponding app, there are two versions that you can switch between at the touch of a button, these are as follows:

There is Binance Lite, which is excellent for beginners, and Binance Pro, which gives you access to many advanced features and trading tools. Further to this, according to the Google Play store, the app has more than 10 million downloads, with a high user rating of 3.7/5 stars – This rating is based on 617,000 user reviews.

Advanced, classic and basic trading platforms

Binance serves customers of all levels, from complete beginners to experienced day traders in the crypto investing world. If you want the easiest way to buy crypto, you only need to select the basic “Convert” option, which creates a straightforward interface.

Those who are more comfortable with the traditional market interface can choose the Classic method of buying crypto, which has much more information than the basic version. Experienced traders who want full access to all trading instruments can choose the Advanced option under the Trade tab.

Use Binance Earn to grow your crypto portfolio

Binance offers users various options to increase their crypto while leaving it on the stock exchange. If you plan to hodl (withhold/hold onto) your crypto, this is a potential investment opportunity. Instead of it lying dormant as available funds in your portfolio, you can work with it. The following sections below, explain the different bidding options.

Binance Visa Card

Binance works with Visa to offer a card that lets you spend your crypto with 60 million merchants worldwide. In addition, the card is free, has no administration or processing fees, and you can even get up to 8% cash-back on eligible purchases! This is undoubtedly a significant step in the right direction to make crypto a mainstream payment method.

P2P Replacement

Binance offers a peer-to-peer exchange that allows users to trade cryptocurrency directly with each other between their portfolios, on their own terms – in virtually any country!

Binance Credit

Anyone registered as a Binance user can access a loan if they wish to take one out on the platform. There are several credit conditions that you can choose from when borrowing; It is possible to make an early repayment and pay only for borrowed hours. The interest rate is calculated at 0.001667% (0.04%/day) per hour.

NFT Marketplace

NFTs have taken the crypto world by storm and are continuously gaining popularity. Binance has seized the opportunity to take part in the movement. Binance has its own NFT marketplace, where NFTs can be minted, bought and sold.

Margin trading with leverage of up to 10x

Margin trading is only available for a select few trading pairs; further to this, with some trading pairs, users can acquire leverage as high as 10x. Cross margin trading can be hazardous as users risk their entire account, while isolated margin trading only poses a risk to that trading pair.

Futures and Derivatives Trading

A relatively new feature is Binance Futures, which allows users to speculate on the price of Bitcoin and altcoins such as Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash and others. When trading futures, users do not actually buy or sell cryptocurrencies, but only take advantage of the price rise/fall to make money.

The futures interface is very similar to the trading platform itself. The only difference is features, such as the ability to view open positions and features that allow traders to control leverage. Binance Futures fees are up 0.04% for each trade. Fees are lower for traders with a huge monthly trading volume or, subsequently, if their trades often increase liquidity in the order book before they are executed.

Binance awards

It has extremely low fees, and it is in fact possible for them to be reduced further.

Deposit fees

If you put cryptocurrency in Binance, there is a zero fee. If you deposit fiat currency into Binance, the fee will vary depending on how you deposit and the currency. For example, if you pay Australian dollars (AUD) using PayID/OSKO, it’s free. However, if you deposit Hong Kong dollars (HKD) by credit card, the fee is 3.50%.

Payment Fees

The withdrawal of cryptocurrency from the Binance account comes with a flat fee that covers the transaction costs of transferring crypto to the wallet. The fee varies depending on each coin. In the case of fiat currency withdrawals, the fee varies depending on the withdrawal method and currency. For example, taking the Australian dollar (AUD) by bank transfer is free. Paying the pound sterling (GBP) by credit card comes with a 1% fee.

Transaction Fees

Fees for spot trading (buying and selling cryptos) start at a low 0.1% and you can get a 25% discount if you pay the fees with Binance’s own coin (BNB). This means that you only pay 0.075% for each trade!

Trading Fees Compared to Other Popular Exchanges

Binance – 0.075%

KuCoin – 0.10%

Coinbase – 4.5%

Bybit – 0.10%

If you’re a large-scale trader and hold a lot of BNB tokens, you can reduce fees even further, with the lowest fees with a 0.015% maker fee and a 0.03% taker fee, including a 25% discount using BNB.

Binance security

As a platform, Binance is a secure cryptocurrency exchange that keeps most of its digital assets offline in cold storage and also gives its users tips on ways to increase security. In line with their strong security ethics, there are account settings to enable 2FA (two-factor authentication), the whitelisting of devices, payment address management, the enablement of anti-phishing codes, and even U2F (universal factor 2 authentication) – which requires physical access to hardware to access the account.

Despite all of these efforts to keep the exchange safe in 2019 Binance fell victim to a cybersecurity breach and lost more than $40 million worth of Bitcoin. However, they reacted commendably to the situation; The resulting losses were fully subsidised and so users did not suffer any actual losses. Four months after the incident, they received ISO 27001 certification after passing an audit of information security management. This shows how committed Binance actually are to maintaining a secure platform for all customers. Further to this, Binance is constantly investing in ways to improve their cybersecurity protection.

Summary

In the world of cryptocurrency, Binance is certainly a big and popular name, this is no  accident. Based on trading volume, it is the largest crypto exchange with competitive fees and a platform designed for both novice investors and experienced traders. With over 300 different coin offerings and extra features like bets, margin trading, futures, and even an NFT marketplace, it’s an excellent platform to rely on for your blockchain activities.

Don’t have an account of your own? If you want to open one follow the link to get started: 

Binance registration >>

Read more analysis from us here

IS THERE A LINK BETWEEN DUMB MONEY AND THE FUTURE PROFIT OF THE EQUITY MARKET? (Household Equity shares)

THE LINK BETWEEN DUMB MONEY AND THE FUTURE PROFIT OF THE EQUITY MARKET

Often referred to as silly money, dumb money is in reference to the average investor managing the investment steps of their own portfolio’s capital. A well-known platitude of the stock market is your average investor buying high and selling low. It is because of this trend that, at the peak of the stock market rise, the average investor portfolio holds a high number of shares. The question here would be;

is there a link between dumb money and the future profit of the equity market?

In this article, we will discuss how to track a portfolio’s level of equity exposure, as well as studies that have examined the reliability of this correlation trend. Household equity shares.

The topics covered in this article are:

  • What does dumb money do in the stock market?
  • Why is household equity exposure important?
  • The relationship between household equity exposure and future returns

What does dumb money do in the stock market?

Dumb money indicators are often referred to as ‘mom & pop’ indicators, referencing the fact that the average investor invests their money generally uninformed, are less skilled, and are generally more likely to make more irrational decisions. It is only named this because, if we have enough skill to know how to read and apply the indicators that are most relevant to our portfolio, we can more easily – and more accurately – make market predictions for the future. Practically, it is based on this principle of households, housewives, methods of following silly money. To follow the steps of housewives, you can use several different indicators.

The most well-known of these indicators are:

  • Dumb Money Stock Confidence Index
  • Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
  • Retail Money Market Ratio
  • NYSE Available Cash Interpretation
  • AIM indicator
  • Rydex Ratio
  • AAII Investor Sentiment Index
  • Households equity exposure

From those shown in this list, the AAII may be a popular topic but it doesn’t get all of the airtime. Another prevalent indicator from this list would be Household Equity Exposure, which we discuss in the following section of this article.

What makes household equity exposure important?

In recent years, there have been regular reports in the economic media (You can see those reports here, here and here) that U.S. households hold a record ratio of shares. When we say record ratio we mean that these households collectively hold at least 40 per cent of relative investment vehicle shares.

In the image below, we can – in a slightly more credible/comprehensive way than the articles quoted above – track the ratio of the value of shares held by U.S. households to all investment vehicles.  Furthermore, according to this, 40% of US household assets are currently in equities. News has shown us the index had a higher value even before previous economic crises, an extraordinary situation that hasn’t been witnessed since Second World War. 

Household equity shares
households stocks graph

Anyone who has noticed that, even before major crises (see 2008 crisis, 2001 dotcom bubble), the value of the indicator peaked (see red arrows), it committed a bias in retrospectives.

In hindsight, it’s easy to mark the tops because we can have a good understanding of where they may lie in the future. However, if we couldn’t loosely predict the future, we wouldn’t be so confident since, for example, in the three years before the dotcom bubble, household equity exposure was at a historic high (above 30%), and the collapse didn’t happen for another 3 years. Therefore, it is possible to show with significantly more accurate statistical studies than visual inspection whether there is any link between the equity exposure of households and the future returns of stock exchanges.

Let’s look at the details of this further.

The relationship between household equity exposure and future market returns

The research, published under the title The Household Equity Share and Expected Market Returns, specifically looked at whether there was any correlation between household equity exposure and future return on the stock market spanning the period of 1953 to 2015.

To carry out the study, the household equity share (HEShare) indicator was created, which shows how household equity exposure changes over a given period of time compared to money market instruments. According to this, Household Equity shares varies from 0 to 1, where for value 0, 0% of household wealth is in shares and 100% in financial assets.

At the other extreme (A Household Equity shares value of 1), household equity is entirely in shares and no financial assets are held. Of course, as we have learnt that the fluctuation of equity exposure lies between 55-80%, we cannot show these extreme values in reality.

When looking at the history of the Household Equity shares indicator, particularly over the period of 1950-2015, we can easily gain great insight. Immediately we can observe that this indicator fluctuated between 55-80%. Meanwhile the corresponding chart of the FED (Federal Reserve) only shows a fluctuation of 10-40%. The reason for the difference is that the Household Equity shares indicator looks at the ratio of shares, strictly that of financial assets, and the FED’s chart shows the ratio of shares to all investment vehicles.

How to follow the Household Equity shares indicator?

There are multiple factors that are attributed to this indicator, which make it such a great tool for all.

Let’s take a look at the main elements of the indicator in the section below.

Household Equity Shares Interpretation

Household Equity shares represents all shares held by households, which is the sum of shares directly owned by households and shares purchased through investment funds. The exact data can be found in the FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) database and in the federalreserve.gov database:

  • Direct shares, under the name FL153064105.Q
  • The value of shares purchased through investment funds under the name FL153064245.Q.

Household Credit Assets Interpretation

Household Credit Assets represent the financial assets of households, which is the sum of three data sources:

  • Article FL154022005 Q – mortgage bonds
  • FL154023005. Q – bank deposits
  • FL153064235. Q – bonds

The above data can be obtained from the FRED and federalreserve.gov database.

In summary, the research discussed did in fact find a correlation between household equity exposure and future returns on the stock market. According to this, if household equity exposure increases, then the 5-year future return on the stock market can be expected to be lower.

It is important to see that this indicator does not have the capacity to time the market in the short term, it’s task is to predict the future yield of 5 years. But don’t forget, even though it predicts with a high reliability at this level, it is not infallible and can potentially be incorrect. There wasn’t always a close relationship between Household Equity shares and the yield for the next 5 years, this was particularly true in the 1980s.

Further to this, the correlation of Household Equity shares also in fact coincides with other correlations as well. 

Of these, the correlation coefficient with, quite popular, CAPE is 0.4, which assumes a medium linear relationship (explanation of the correlation coefficient here). In fact, this means that in addition to CAPE, the role of the Household Equity shares indicator can also be a strengthening one.

Learn more about investing

How Investment Diversification Reduces Financial Risk

investment diversification

Diversification is fundamental for sound investment portfolios. Yet, despite the importance of investment diversification, its meaning remains vague for many. When wealth building, it is important to strive to reduce the level of risk in your portfolio.

This article aims to aid your learning of how to begin minimising risk while your savings increase. Let’s get started!

What is diversification?

The essence of diversification is the reduction of losses by spreading the risk burden.

Let’s say you collect an amount of physical capital, and you now want to invest that money. 

How do you go about investment diversification?

You read an article online that says how particularly well a technology company is doing at this moment in time. After reading the article, you decide to invest all of your money in shares of that single company. Then, when they release the quarterly report, it shows they never reached their projections, and the exchange rate starts falling sharply. Now roughly 40% of your invested capital is already absorbed, and you face losing everything, should the share price continue to plummet. 

An alternative situation to the scenario mentioned above would be that you seek out some level of professional advisory.

investment diversification

Nine out of 10 experts are likely to recommend buying a bigger multiple of, preferably, different products instead of just several smaller ones that are all similar to eachother. 

To create such a portfolio, for example, you would buy a smaller real estate unit, as well as government securities, bonds and shares. It would even be possible to further add more investment assets different to these ones. By building your portfolio like this, you would be able to spread the risk, therefore reducing how much is held in each asset. And if the value of one asset decreases (Like with the stock price we used as an example previously), then only a smaller portion of your entire wealth is lost, because only a small percentage loses its value. This is what diversification is.

You can read about the basics of investing here

Why is diversified investment important?

As we have said, the aim of diversification reducing the risk of investment. As long as you keep your total capital in only one investment vehicle, there is a chance that you will suffer a significant loss as a result of an unfortunate event. 

Economic processes are constantly changing and, therefore, so is the value of all the different assets. As a result, crises come and go – during which the value of various investment vehicles can fall significantly.

But on top of that, many things can affect their value. For example, a high-value property is still just a building and can become badly damaged (House fire) or even the quality of the property’s surrounding area, both of these reasons, and many more, can cause the property value to depreciate. Your money invested in the shares of an IT company could easily fall because of the scandal surrounding the company. And, further from this, your bonds can be devalued more or less overnight. Moreover, unfortunately, there have been cases in recent years when the issuing financial institution has become insolvent (not able to repay owed debts – bankrupt).

Read more about Why Depreciation Is The Biggest Perk Of Real Estate Investing

Although these examples seem to be extreme, over the last few years such stories could be read in credible news outlets. Unfortunately there will be more cases of this nature heppening in the likely not-too-distant future. Therefore it’s better not too underestimate the chance of such situations occurring.

In the case of a varied portfolio, usually only a small part of your assets will be in threat at any given time This makes having a diversified portfolio is moderately risk-reducing.

How does diversification work?

The most important rule of diversification is to invest in assets whose exchange rate movements don’t correlate. That is, the fall in the exchange rate of one asset class does not cause a negative change in the other.

Let’s say, hypothetically, you put 40% of your savings into an investment fund with high-risk technology stocks, and 60% into a low-risk sovereign debt or bond mutual fund. Thus, fluctuations in the price of high-risk stocks will not have such an impact on your overall savings. 

By putting your money into mutual funds, you are diversifying on your own, because you are not putting everything on one company, but on, say, 60-70. So of course, here it is also worth carefully exploring the characteristics of the investment vehicle.

What should you pay attention to when building a diversified portfolio?

When developing a diversification strategy, think primarily about:

  • What are individual goals?
  • Do you want to invest regularly or in one lump sum?
  • How much return do you expect?
  • How long do you want to invest?
  • How much risk are you willing to take?

Do you need a flexible, disbursable**, easy-to-monetize (liquid) form of investment from which you can quickly withdraw your money if necessary? Or do you have more of a long-term reserve that you won’t expect to touch for years?

Each investment vehicle has its own characteristics. The goal is not to have money everywhere, but to divide it into a percentage of different options, thus reducing the risk. 

**able to be distributed or scattered – definition source here

Why is diversifying important?

In the world of investments, there is a rule of thumb: the risk taken is proportional to the level of return. So, on the other hand, a low-risk government bond will also give a low yield. But, due to the low risk of the government bond, the returns are more or less guaranteed. Exceptions to this would include; the bankruptcy of invested companies, war and economical collapse(recession).

A newly listed company with high expectations from investors promises high returns. However, bad political or economic news can be enough to cause a stock’s value to fall by 20-30%.

This shows that it is worth diversifying our investments primarily on the basis of risk levels. On a scale ranging from low-risk investments to extremely risky assets, you need to choose the forms you’d like to invest in. Of course, it is worth combining the different risk assets in certain proportions that are relevant to your overall strategy.

What major asset classes can you invest in?

Government securities

Government securities are one of the simplest, least risky forms of investment. When you buy government securities, you essentially “lend” your money to the state, that is, you get a state guarantee. Low risk is accompanied by low returns.

Bonds

A bond differs from government securities in that you don’t “lend” your assets to the state here. Instead, they’re “loaned” to a financial institution or company, and for a fixed period of time. The risk is higher here too since, in this case, it is more possible for a company or financial institution to become insolvent(unable to pay arrears in any case). In addition, the so-called exchange rate risk is to be taken into account, which is due to the change in the value of the given bond. The higher the yield on a bond, the riskier it is.

Shares

When you buy shares, you acquire a small slice of the ownership of a particular company. This investment vehicle is an extremely high-risk asset, which should only be considered if you have good market research, market experience or – if you are more inexperienced than most – are prepared to potentially experience losses within some of your trades.

Read about market risk here

Property

A real estate investment is one of the so-called illiquid investments. This means that it is difficult to exchange a property for cash. Buying and selling a property, or even renting it, takes longer, so if you need money quickly at any time, real estate is not the best way to invest your property. In the case of long-term financial plans, however, this is an excellent asset to have. For this type of investment, the risk is moderately high, but the time and capital requirements can be significant. – despite this, if you are renting your unit out, this will easily make a return for you as a more passive income.

Foreign currency

Foreign exchange investment is one of the most skilled investment vehicles, because of this the risk management required is high. This method isn’t recommended for beginners under any circumstances.

Read our article about Forex

Commodity products

In investment terminology, naturally occurring raw materials used in different industrial sectors are referred to as commodity products. Examples of commodities would be gold and oil. In addition to foreign exchange trading, this is the other group of investment assets that requires a higher level of expertise and large time expenditure and can be very risky.

Cryptocurrency

Virtual money has recently become a very popular investment vehicle due to its return potential. Although it should be noted that there have been numerous instances of regular, unexpected crashes and unpredictable behaviour of cryptocurrencies that you can readily find information on.

Bearing all of the above in mind, cryptocurrency trading is a particularly risky area of expertise.

The easiest way to diversify investments?

The easiest way to diversify is through investment funds. The advantage of these is that by buying a single asset, you practically put your money in a diversified portfolio. For example, with a fund, you can choose an investment fund based on geographic regions (e.g. USA, Far East, Central Europe, etc.), raw materials (gold, oil), risk, or even sector. Each fund has dozens or even hundreds of securities, which also supports diversification. 

In addition, this way you can diversify much more cost-efficiently than buying each of the securities, found in any chosen investment fund, separately. And further to the fact that these assets are completely liquid, a whole team of experts is engaged in achieving the best possible return on it. 

Putting savings in investment funds can also be solved within the framework of your pension insurance in the form of life insurance tied to investment units 

Is there such a thing as excessive diversification?

Diversification is very important in creating a balanced investment portfolio, but it can also be overdone. One of the disadvantages of excessive diversification is that the investment system can easily become overbearing for any investor. If you don’t know exactly what your money is doing and what or where losses have been made, and where to focus your attention, you may lose control of your money. 

Another downside to excessive diversification is relatively low yields. Figuratively speaking, the more legs you stand on financially, likely there will be less capital allocated to each product. This is why, most of the time, these lower yields can be expected. Not only this but, lower capital allocation also means there is less risk of you losing a large proportion of investment in one go, without diversification you could even lose everything all at once.

However, this does also mean if one asset fund generates high returns, you will benefit less from it because of the smaller amount invested than if you put a larger amount into it. 

This reduces the relative return on diversified portfolios, but in a balanced investment system, the strengthened portfolio security offsets this lower yield potential due to reduced risk, and therefore reduced losses.

Conclusion

As in other areas of life, it is very important to reduce the risk in finance and it can be detrimental to keep our savings and assets all in one place: whether it be in an account, in a bank account, or in the shares of one particular company. However, with a balanced portfolio of investments managed very carefully either by you or by experienced professionals, you can be sure that your wealth grows in the long term and provides you with financial security. 

In-depth Investing for Beginners: How Does It Help Build Wealth?

In-depth Investing for Beginners

Are you intrigued by the concept of investing and want to learn more about investments? Then you’re in the right place!

This article will present the most important investment basics, that beginners need to know. We will also look at why investing is beneficial and what you may miss out on if you don’t take advantage of it.

If you want to build wealth — either for retirement or to achieve financial freedom — usually, it isn’t enough to make money and save some of it.

As Robert Kiyosaki said,  “For every dollar you save, you can give a work suit and send it to make more money for you.”

Today, anyone can invest, with a few hundred dollars and a phone with an internet connection, anybody can get started.

However, the world of investing can seem complicated, and we often don’t know how to get started in the first place. We can find ourselves in a real sea of jargon on the Internet, where sometimes it is difficult to find the best of the available information.

Because of this, many people don’t even start investing and so, due to inflation, they continue to lose money without even realising. With the right basic knowledge, investments can be made to be much more simple.

This article will give you all of the most important information that you would need as a beginner starting out on your investment journey.

As there is a lot of information packed into this article, please see our Table of Contents below:

1) What is Investing?

1.1) 1. Cash flow / Direct income

1.2) 2. Capital gains

1.3) 3. Cash flow + Capital gains

1.4) Investment means the purchase of income-generating assets

1.5) The Difference Between Investing and Speculation

1.6) Investor Vs. Speculator

2) Why is it important to invest?

2.1) Why is it not enough to save?

2.2) Build Wealth With the Power of Interest

3) When should you start investing?

4) Misconceptions about investing

4.1) Myth 1: Investing is Difficult/ Complicated

4.2) Myth 2: The Luck of Investing

4.3) Myth 3: It Takes a Lot of Money to Invest

4.4) Myth 4: Only The Rich and Professionals Can Invest

5) Investment Funds

5.1) 1. The Main Asset Classes

5.2) 2. The Correlation between Return On Investment (ROI) and Risk Exposure

5.2.1) High Yield, Low Risk?

5.3) 3. Diversification

5.3.1) Think in portfolio

5.3.2) ETFs: One of the Best Tools for Diversification

6) Investment Concept: Summary

What is Investing?

By investing, we mean a long-term process of buying income-generating assets with the aim of earning a return from it in the future.

Self-made money-man Warren Buffett once said:

“Investing is giving up today’s consumption in order to consume more later.”

Where does the return / gain come from?

It can come from three different sources, as explained below, where we will use examples to illustrate the given point:

1. Cash flow / Direct Income

Example #1: When you invest in a company’s shares, you actually become one of its shareholders.

As incredible as it is, when you buy an Apple share, for example, you’ll be a part-owner of the company, even if you’re going to own only a fraction of the shares issued. 

From the profits generated by Apple, you, as a co-owner, receive dividends on your shares every quarter.

Example #2: If you invest in a property and rent it out, you’ll get a monthly wage fee in return, in the form of the rent you receive from your paying tenants.

2. Capital gains

The prices of both shares and property can rise, from which you can achieve capital gains.

Example: If Apple performs well, the price per share will increase. Let’s assume you bought an Apple stock for $100, which later increased to $150. In this case, you would have made a total capital gain of $50.

3. Cash flow + Capital gains

For many investments, you can get your returns from both sources. In the case of shares, you can receive dividends (although not all companies will pay dividends) and capital gains.

In the case of real estate investment, in addition to the monthly wage fee, the price of your property may also increase.

Investing Means Buying Income-Generating Assets

It’s no coincidence that we highlighted “income-generating” assets above. Colloquialism and the media often misuse investment as a concept.

For example, you may often hear people remarking that they have invested in a new car or a new phone.

For these purchases to be considered an investment, we must ask the following question:

Is this ‘XYZ item’ going to produce any future returns?

If the answer is no, then the new purchase is not an investment at all but instead is known as an ‘obligation’. This is because it may incur maintenance costs, but in turn won’t subsidise the user for these costs in any way, meaning they will be out of pocket.

Another thing to consider in this case is that the item’s value is also constantly depreciating (falling).

As we have said, buying a car for personal use is not an investment; it is a cost. But this can be changed if, for example, you were to start a courier company from which the vehicle will become a means for you to earn from.

Contrary to popular belief, trading, Forex and cryptocurrency purchases aren’t actually considered to be investments. Instead, these are officially known as speculations.

The Difference Between Investing and Speculation

Despite there being critical differences between these two concepts, it can be difficult for beginners to distinguish between the two, this is also true for those who are more experienced.

According to the world-renowned investor, Philip Carret:

“The man who bought United States Steel in 1915 for $60 to profit from the sale at a higher price is a speculator. In contrast, the gentleman who bought American Telephone to get a dividend yield of more than 8% is the investor.”

Carret also, quite concisely, said the following:

“Speculation is the purchase and sale of securities or commodities merely in the hope of profiting from their exchange rate fluctuations.”

As one of the greatest investors of all time, Warren Buffett’s example reflects the difference between speculation and investment:

“There are two types of devices that can be purchased. One is where the asset itself generates returns for you, such as rental properties, shares, or a farm. And then there are devices that you buy in the hope that later someone will pay more for them, but the devices themselves will not produce anything for you. I think the second is speculation.”

Our take-away from this is an investor thinks in the long-term and buys an asset because of its future cash flow. Here the assets primary purpose is to keep your invested capital safe while achieving adequate returns simultaneously.

Opposite to this, a speculator buys a particular asset merely in the hope that its price will increase (or fall) due to market sentiment, regardless of whether the fundamental value of the underlying asset has changed.

Investor Vs. Speculator

The most critical differences between investment and speculation are the level of risk exposure and the certainty of retaining any invested capital.

In this case, the investor is more assured that they will not lose their money, whereas the speculator should know that there is a high probability that the investment can be lost entirely.

The problem is when a person believes they’re investing when they’re speculating, possibly causing some unexpected losses.

So, why would people speculate when they know the probability of loss is high?

The answer to this could be for the same reason that many people like to gamble – some may think speculation is exciting due to the, sometimes high-stake, risk, and that investments are boring in comparison.

To clarify, there is no issue with speculation, should you wish to put some of your capital here, but we must make the point that, if you wish to build wealth, then this might not be the best way to go about it (at least until you gain some market experience dealing with risk).

The best, most safe and proven way to build wealth for a beginner may be to invest.

In the world of personal finance, the general consensus is to never speculate more than 5% of your total wealth.

Why?

In the event that you lose everything that has a high-risk probability, it won’t have a big impact on your financial situation due to your other portfolio assets.

Why is it important to invest?

Since investments also involve certain risks, from time to time the question of whether it is really worth investing in the first place may arise. And, it may also be asked if there is a better alternative? Let’s look into this:

Why is it not enough to save?

Saving is the number one and most important element in achieving your financial goals, but without investing you won’t get much out of your money, depending on a number of variables.

The purchasing power of the amount held in fiat currency (Liquid cash) and that held in a bank account, is steadily decreasing due to inflation.

Many people don’t realise this fact. For example, if you set aside $10,000 today and don’t touch it, you will likely still see the same amount in your bank account in 20 years. The problem in this is that, due to inflation, in 20 years this amount will carry much less purchasing power. Meaning its value has steadily decreased throughout the years.

By investing, however, you can maintain the purchasing power of your money against inflation and increase it at the same time.

This is well reflected in the chart below, which shows an inflation-adjusted value (Real value) of $1 held in various assets (e.g. stocks, bonds, gold or cash in dollars) between 1802 and 2012.

It is clear that if you invested in stocks, for example, your initial $1 investment increased to $1,029,045 (above inflation!).

Conversely, if you kept your money under your pillow (DOLLAR), the initial $1 dropped to 0.051 cents due to inflation.

So you didn’t do anything, and yet you lost — you couldn’t even keep the value of your money.

Therefore, to answer the question posed at the beginning of this section: yes, where investing does involve risk, the alternative is guaranteed loss.

Build Wealth With the Power of Interest Interest

If you want to build wealth, whatever the reasoning (e.g. providing a good pension, building passive income or achieving financial freedom) – investing is necessary for achieving this goal.

You can increase your money by buying income-generating assets. You can then use the funds generated by these assets to purchase further additional assets that will, in turn, generate even more money. You can even continue to reinvest earnings infinitely if you want to build the portfolio quicker than you would otherwise be able to do so.

As Ben Franklin said, “Money that money produces, produces money.” 

Thanks to compound interest, as you continue to reinvest earned capital, your wealth will begin to grow at an ever-accelerating rate.

Read more about compound interest and use our compound interest calculator to see how much return a month / year you can make. Click Here

The following illustrates the effect of interest rates:

As you can see, over time, an increasing and larger portion of your wealth is made up of yield (part marked in purple).

By the end of the 20  years, your total wealth was about $7000, of which you only invested about $1000.

When should you start investing?

This Chinese proverb. Although it has its own applications, it is very much true for investments too:

“The best time to start planting a tree was 20 years ago. The second best time is today.”

Why is this relevant?

The earlier you start investing, the longer you can utilise the power of interest rates.

Let’s make three examples; Michael, Jennifer and Sam.

Michael started investing $95 a month at the age of 25, for 40 years until he was 65.

Jennifer began her investments 10 years later, depositing around $126 per month, for 30 years until she was 65 years old.

Sam discovered the investments very late, meaning he only started investing at the age of 45. Because she was so far behind the others, she decided to double Michael’s monthly deposit, so Sam invested $190 a month for 20 years until she was 65.

So all three invested, on average, the same amount – that is, $45,600 – all across different time horizons.

The question is, who made more?

Let’s look at:

Note: Image is for illustration purposes only and doesn’t reflect mentioned figures

Even though all three investors allocated the same amount over time, Michael was the one who ended up with the most considerable capital.

He enjoyed the power of compound interest for the longest time, so even though Jennifer and Sam invested the same amount, Michael’s money worked harder than the other invested capital amounts.

Why? Take a look at our Compound interest calculator here to see how it works for yourself!

Misconceptions about investing

Many people have certain misconceptions that will stop them from getting started altogether. So let’s begin this section by dispelling the most common misconceptions you may encounter.

Myth 1: Investing Is Difficult Or Complicated

Sometimes, the financial sector may try to overcomplicate investments in the hope that clients will be overwhelmed with all the information and will, therefore, need to make use of their advisory services.

The truth is that with just the most basic knowledge, investments become quite simple; You can acquire the basic knowledge required for it with just a few hours of learning.

Investing will always seem complicated when you don’t understand it in one way or another. But unfortunately, this is just a natural part of human psychology where a lack of understanding will be confusing.

Myth 2: The ‘Luck’ of Investing

Many people don’t invest because they have wrongly learned that investing is just the same as, if not similar to, gambling. However, certain assets, such as cryptocurrencies, do happen to be a little closer to gambling when we compare the levels of risk, which usually creates this misconception.

So what separates investment from gambling? There are many ways in which these two topics differ from each other, although here are the main three distinguishing factors of investing:

  • With your investments, you have control over the level of risk exposure, and you can also limit your level of loss. Unfortunately, in the case of gambling, you don’t necessarily have the luxury of controlling these factors, meaning you can only win or lose everything.
  • When you invest, you essentially become the owner of that particular asset, for example owning real estate or becoming a part-owner in a listed company (stocks). When gambling, you don’t own anything once you have assigned your capital to it.
  • Before investing in any particular product, there will usually be a lot of information (often decades-worth) that you can first analyse to make reasonable and informed decisions. On the other hand, gambling will often not be able to offer this opportunity beforehand

Myth 3: It Takes a Lot of Money to Invest

Depending on the paltform, you can start investing from $10 today, so this misconception is also silly.

Moreover, you can use even smaller amounts of money to build significant wealth in the long run, thanks to the power of compound interest.

However, the important thing is that you start at the earliest moment you feel ready. With this method, you can gain invaluable investor experience with smaller capital mounts, meaning you can keep overall losses to a minimum in the long term.

These experiences will come in handy later in your investment journey when you have more capital at your disposal and start to invest more. If you’re not sure why using this method is helpful, the fact is you will make mistakes when you first start. However, learning from these instances, which produce more minor losses, and being able to apply the experience gained in future situations means you will be better prepared for more considerable risk exposure much quicker.

Myth 4: Only The Rich and Professionals Can Invest

Many people believe that only the more privileged of people can invest. This couldn’t be further from the truth.

Even if this was once true, practically anyone could invest in today’s market. We can say this is regardless of age, income or professional knowledge. And as we previously stated, it can be more beneficial in the long run to you, as an investor, to begin your portfolio with smaller capital amounts.

The Investment Funds

This section will look at the most important basics that you need to know about investments.  

1. The Main Asset Classes

There are many investment options. We can classify almost all of these options into a corresponding asset class; An asset class is a group of financial instruments with similar characteristics.

A) Cash and cash substitutes (cash, T-bills, savings accounts)

This is the more simple of the groups, with the lowest risk management requirement. The primary advantage of such investments is high liquidity (immediately available or easy to convert into cash), with a maturity of up to 1 year.

Cash and bank deposits are included here, as are securities such as the Treasury-Bill (T-Bill) issued by the U.S. state, which is internationally recognised and often used as a risk-free interest rate.

B) Fixed income (bonds, government securities, bond ETFs)

It is an investment in debt securities. These are known as fixed incomes because securities offer investors a fixed interest payment within a specified period.

Fixed income is usually simply referred to as “bonds.”

C) Equity (shares, mutual funds, equity ETFs)

The term ‘equity’ derives from the fact that shares are equity securities. By investing in listed companies, we – in turn – become part-owners (or shareholders) of that company.

Through something called an ‘Exchange Traded Fund’, otherwise known as an 

ETF, we can acquire shareholdings in a pre-prepared selection of companies at once instead of deciding what companies to allocate our money to one at a time.

An example of a more popular, and more importantly, proven ETF would be the S&P 500, the US index.

D) Alternative investments

As other financial instruments are commonly referred to as “alternative investments”, Real Estate; Commodities; Forex, Hedge Funds, Private Equity, and Derivatives are included in this asset class.

2. The Correlation between Return On Investment (ROI) and Risk Exposure

One of the main principles of investment is that return and risk go hand in hand.

This means that investment opportunities offering higher returns are associated with higher risk at the same time.

In the same way, low-yield investments offer greater certainty because of their low risk.

The following chart shows the yield-risk relationship between investment opportunities within different asset classes:

Both bonds and stocks are good examples of the point that we are trying to make here.

The risk of shares is higher than that of bonds. This is due to the fact that shareholders have what are called “residual claims”. This means that when it comes to any profits a company makes, creditors are paid first and then the shareholders. Meaning that, if the company is profitable, a policyholder’s returns are guaranteed, whereas those expected by a shareholder aren’t so certainly ascertained.

Further to this, in the event that the company goes bankrupt and is liquidated, the creditors’ claims are first satisfied from the assets sold and only after this has been done – and shareholders will only be paid if there is anything left.

Meaning when the liquidation of a company does unfortunately happen, shareholders often get nothing.

As referenced earlier in this section, because shareholders take on higher risk, they also expect higher returns in return.

In another example, government securities have a lower risk against corporate bonds, since the security of our capital depends on a state’s ability to repay us, compared to this companies carry more risk.

Of course, there are exceptions to this. An Apple bond is much safer than, say, a Ugandan government bond. This is because smaller countries carry more risk. 

High Yield, Low Risk?

A recurring question you may sometimes hear, or even ask yourself is; “How can I get a high return with low-risk exposure?”

Unfortunately, there isn’t such a thing, at this moment in time, that can be utilised.

If there were, it would be an arbitrage situation that investors would understandably take advantage of very quickly and so it would disappear in the blink of an eye.

For example, imagine an extreme situation in which the yield of an almost risk-free government bond is higher than the yield of a stock, which carries a much higher risk; 

Institutional investors (whose thousands of employees and computer algorithms constantly monitor the market) would immediately start buying government securities, as it has become quite attractive compared to other investment opportunities. This would increase the demand for government securities and therefore the price.

A higher price would simultaneously mean a lower yield, thus correcting the yield on government securities to the point where it reflects its risk. 

So if you want to get a high return, you have to take a higher risk.

3. Diversification

While the risk of investing cannot be completely eradicated, it can be reduced by avoiding unnecessary risk.

You may have heard the saying, “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.” This is very relevant here.

Many people make the mistake of investing all their money in one particular company’s shares. If you were to do this, and something happened to your chosen company, you could lose a lot of money or even potentially lose all of your invested money.

Think in Portfolio

Instead of individual stocks or bonds, you may want to consider a portfolio that is more broad and diversify your investments across different asset classes.

This will make the performance of your portfolio less dependent on the performance of a single asset class, which will:

  • Reduce the risk of your investments
  • Increase the return on your entire portfolio
  • With a well-diversified portfolio, you can achieve a much more favourable return-to-risk ratio.

As we have already seen, each asset class has its own unique feature and they each have an individual reaction to different market changes.

In general, where one asset class performs poorly, another will moderate or offset it.

Example: In times of crisis, when stocks tend to fall sharply, bonds can provide security, thus balancing the performance of your portfolio.

Not only should you just diversify between asset classes, but it would be beneficial to at least consider diversifying the products bought from within the same asset class.

Example: Instead of just one company, you can invest in many multiples, allowing you to spread your risk a lot more.

As you can see, you can diversify on three levels:

  • Between asset classes
  • Within asset class between different, individual investments
  • Between different regions and industries

ETFs: One of the Best Tools for Diversification

The following question is a great one, not to mention reasonable to ask:

“I don’t have the money to buy hundreds of shares. In fact, I don’t have the time or knowledge to properly manage them. What should I do?”

There is a saying about finding a needle in a haystack. There is also a continuation to it which says, “Instead of looking for the needle in the haystack, buy the whole haystack instead”

With ETFs you can buy the whole haystack, figuratively speaking anyway.

With a single purchase you can buy into hundreds or even thousands of shares for any amount you can put aside. Minimum amount can vary platform by platform on eToro you can start investing from $10

Investment Concept: Summary

We’ve all heard that we should invest, but many people don’t start. Many are held back by the potential investment risks.

Investments can be risky, but if you invest according to a well thought out investment strategy, you can reduce these risks and have a fairly higher degree of certainty that you won’t lose as much as someone who doesn’t have a set strategy.

Don’t forget because of inflation, if you don’t invest, you are guaranteed to experience some form of a loss.

So therefore investing remains the most beneficial way to achieve your long-term financial goals of building wealth.

While investing may seem complicated at first, with proper research, it will surely become a lot more simplistic and can show good returns.

Have you invested before? Or perhaps you are currently studying and plan to invest in the future?

Whichever situation you are in, we hope that we have been able to cut the jargon for you by clarifying the truths of investing.

Please understand that NO information in this article should be considered investment advice and should only be used as a guideline.

BEST INVESTMENT SINCE 1927: SMALL VALUE SHARES

Our article will look at which shares would have made us the most profit if we had bought them between 1927 and 2019. We will talk about the so-called small cap stocks and discuss how much these stocks outperformed the U.S. stock index, the S&P 500.

We will also talk about how much differently these stocks have performed over the past decade and how well this could mean small value stocks may perform in the future.

Our topics:

  • What was the result of small value investment between 1927 and 2019?
  • What does small value stock mean?
  • Value-glamour anomaly in the stock market
  • How value shares outperform periodically

What was the result of small value investment between 1927 and 2019?

If we look at the yield on small value shares in Professor Kenneth French’s Research Portfolios database, we find that the annualised return on small value shares was 14.5% between 1927 and 2019. Meaning small value stocks outperformed the S&P 500 index by 4-5% annually, with a yield of 10.2% in the same period. So you could say that small value stocks have been the best investments in the U.S. stock market for the last 80 to 90 years, but over the last decade, the value factor has underperformed the stock market, which affects small value stocks well.

The problem with the above comparison is that we compare stock indices. Still, we cannot invest directly in stock indexes, so we get a more accurate picture when comparing specific investment products. For this purpose, I raised the Vanguard Fund Management S&P 500 Index (VOO) (VFINX) and the VB (DFA) US Small Cap Value etf.

The graph below clearly shows that the small value portfolio (11.37%) outperforms the S&P 500 index (8.03%) between 1994 and 2012.

small value shares

But after 2012, small value stocks (10.85%) are lagging, with the S&P 500 index outperforming by 14.73%.

However over the past decade, small value stocks – and practically the value factor – have diminished the stock market’s impact. We have considered the possible causes of this change, so let’s look at what small value shares mean.

What does small value stock mean?

A ‘small value share’ is a term for any shares with a low market capitalisation, i.e. small companies, and are underpriced based on various fundamental indicators (e.g. P/E – Price-to-Earnings ratio, P/B – Price-to-Book ratio, P/S – Price-to-Sales ratio, P/FCF – Price-to-Free Cash Flow). Investors are actually exploiting two stock market anomalies by investing in value shares; because one only invests due to the size factor, i.e. low-cap stocks have a premium yield.

Between 1927 and 2010, the average annual return on shares with the largest market capitalisation was 10%, while the average yearly return on shares with the smallest market capitalisation was 21.26%. When the U.S. stock market was split into ten different parts. This defined the largest and smallest stock categories, according to their level of capitalisation.

The smallest category of shares became the lower deciles. In contrast, the largest market capitalisation became the upper decile, meaning this group is the top 10% of shares with the largest market capitalisation. But this anomaly is observed not only in the case of shares with the most and least significant market capitalisation but continuously it has been shown that those with smaller caps can make a higher possible yield; see picture below.

For example, the 50% of shares with the smallest capitalisation would show an average annual return of 17.24%, if the value of all U.S. stock was to be halved. In contrast, the 50% of shares with the highest capitalisation would only offer a return of 13.32%.

The other is the value factor, i.e. purchasing underpriced shares on the basis that their future value will out-perform. This value factor is based on well-known investors, such as Warren Buffett’s investment methods, but backtesting has shown that the value factor is a common element even in long or short techniques.

However, the problem is that the impact of the value factor has diminished over the past decade. As a result, some indicators may no longer achieve any additional returns (yields that outperform the S&P 500 index), but some other indicators still prove effective. In any case, these are the reasons behind newspaper articles in which you read that Warren Buffett’s method of investing, or value-based investing, has failed, it is not working.

Value-glamour anomaly in the stock market

The truth is that different premiums on the stock exchanges have changed over time. As an example, let’s mention the most well-known premium, the risk premium of the stock market, which also forms the basis of the CAPM (capital Asset Pricing Model) and shows a decades-old correlation, i.e. investors receive a return premium in exchange for equity market risk. This yield premium averages 8.24%, and at a stat value higher than 2 (3.91), indicating a statistically significant result. This is a robust, significant observation, and the value factor is similar.

However, in the case of the risk premium, we also find that it is not always positive. We will use the following periods: 1929 – 1943, 1966 – 1982, and 2000 – 2012 to highlight this. In all of these periods, the risk premium of the stock market was negative – the S&P 500 index would have given you a lower return than risk-free investments would have done. Let’s also discuss that, if we take an even more comprehensive retrospective look, there have been several negative risk premiums in the past.

As you can see, not so long ago,the risk premium was negative  in periods of 10-12 years, therefore the fact that the value premium has been negative for the same length of time, is a trend more than it is a surprise. The presence of this extended period isn’t a surprise, simply because stock markets have longer cycles, but as you can see in the graph above, the value premium averages 4.7% per annum.

We have also talked about the reasons behind the underperformance of value shares, and in this article the so-called value-glamour anomaly also appears, i.e. popular growth shares (glamour) underperform the shares selected based on their longterm value, but it is still possible that growth shares can outperform in the short term.

Value shares outperform periodically

It is worth being aware that the returns available on the stock market and stocks also change over time, so while it sounds reasonable that the yield of the S&P 500 index is 10% per year, this average is calculated over a period of 90-years. Over a shorter investment horizon (e.g. 5-10 years), yields are significantly spread relative to the average, depending on valuation.

The graph below shows the P/E ratio (Price-to-Earnings ratio) of the S&P 500 index over the past 25 years. Over the past 25 years, the average P/E of the S&P 500 index has been 16.39. The graph also shows the boundary of single standard deviation (13.24 and 19.54) with dashed lines, i.e. assuming a normal distribution, the P/E ratio moves in the range 13.24 to 19.54 for 67 per cent of the period. And if the P/E rate leaves this band, we will see a level of appreciation that is relatively rare (33% of the time).

If we look at the double standard deviation, the P/E ratio varied between 10.63 and 23.23 in 95 per cent of the period.This means that above 23.23 (now 21.72), we will witness a rare event with a probability of 5% based on data from the last 25 years.

The problem is that a high P/E ratio predicts low future returns. For example, in the photo below, you can see the 1-year forecast. The descending yellow line shows that with the increase in the P/E ratio (on the X axis), the available annual yield falls (Y axis). The problem is that the standard deviation of the data is substantial. In some years, yields are very far from the yellow curve, i.e. the indicator is unsuitable for an annual forecast (the correlation factor of 9% indicates this).

In the case of forecasting five-year annualised yields, the forecast is much more accurate. The standard deviation of the data is smaller, but this also shows us the above correlation. Or a more accurate (80% correlation factor) is the Shiller P/E ratio.

The essence of the above is that the rise in the stock market is typically driven by growth shares, so value shares underperform in the mature phases of a bull market when it comes to the stock market. You can see an example of this in the graph below, where you can see an index in yellow showing the largest 1,000 growth companies in the U.S. stock market. In grey, is the most sizeable price of 1,000 value shares.

It can be clearly seen in the picture above that in the bull market preceding the dotcom bubble, growth shares outperform significantly, and then by the end of the crisis, they fall back to the same level as value shares. This is followed by the period when value stocks begin to outperform.

And then, over the past 10 years, growth stocks have outperformed strongly, and the gap will widen spectacularly after 2015. At present, the P/E ratio increase correlates with growth shares’ price increasing.

And if we compare the valuation of value and growth shares, we can see a similar situation. In the picture below, you can see that before the dotcom bubble (2000), growth shares will become more and more expensive fundamentally (downward curve). Then the valuation of growth shares will again approach reality (falling prices on the stock exchanges, this will improve the P/E ratio). However, over the past five years, we have seen that growth shares have become more and more overpriced, when compared to value shares (the curve is falling).

Therefore, we have seen that growth shares outperform value shares over time in certain periods. However, over more extended periods, value shares usually outperform. There are also logical reasons for the overperformance of growth stocks; think of the irrational behaviour of some investors in the stock market. Even in longer periods of time, momentum drives up prices, but this results in an overpriced situation (and in-turn predicts lower future returns).

The bad news for investors is that such overpriced situations can persist for years, and as previous examples show, there’s nothing special about an effect not working on stock markets over a 10-year horizon. Of course, small value and value shares may outperform again sooner or later, but this will have to wait.

The topics that we have/will cover are: stock market trading, stock market investing, correlations that could result in additional ROI, facts and misconceptions about the Stock Exchange and stock market anomalies, as well as many more!

Before considering investing in small-cap stocks you should do your own research (DYOR) on them. To help get you started, we have found a great article that will bring you some extra knowledge.

Read more from Us

Risk Management for Forex and CFD Trading

Risk Management for Forex

Learn the best risk management practices for successful Forex and CFD trading.

In order to trade Forex and CFDs, leverage is needed, and it can greatly multiply your profits. Due to the risk associated with leverage, though, your losses can be significantly increased too. The higher the potential profit, the greater the risk, so it is a prerequisite for your subsequent trading to understand the risks of leveraged trading. Your guide to Risk Management for Forex and CFD Trading.

As we said, Forex trading does have high risk. Thankfully, in many ways, you can lessen this.

This article will guide you through the basics of applying risk management strategies. Please note that this is not financial advice, and we are merely providing an informative resource for you to educate yourself on this topic further.

What Does Risk Management Mean?

General trading risks

Your profit opportunities are always closely correlated to market risk.

Think of risk management as a package of assets and activities that you can use to keep your losses low and potentially increase your profits.

Risk management in Forex trading is based on the following four fundamentals:

  • Identifying the risks of Forex
  • The analysis and assessment of these risks
  • Solving ways to reduce the level of risk
  • Consistently using these solutions with careful management and consistent utility

Examining markets is a priority for both novice and experienced traders alike. Finding a good market “entry” is vital. However, this doesn’t lessen the value of risk management has, for professional and new traders alike.

We also wrote an article about market risk specifically click HERE to read it

Leverage effect

Most people choose Forex and CFD trading because of the possibility of leverage. Why? Because with leverage, we’re going to have a much smaller margin requirement, with less capital – this helps produce a more significant profit margin.

REMEMBER; If the market doesn’t go your way, you could lose a lot more!

The more leverage you use, the faster you can win or lose. For example, there is a chance that you could choose leverage higher than you can handle. If this were to happen, it could cause you to no longer manage your assets sufficiently, potentially causing losses. Less leverage can be an attractive option to reduce your risks, but, at the same time, any potential profits would deflate because of it. Therefore, it is worth carefully considering the degree of leverage you have.

Incorrect market valuation

Trading Forex pairs, CFDs begins by deducting spread costs (difference in buy and sell price). Immediately after opening the position, there will be a negative value in your profit column. You should be aware that your trade will not always be profitable. It doesn’t matter how much you lose. To keep losses within reasonable limits, you should set a stop loss. However, remember that setting the “stop-loss” too narrow will mean your position may be closed even with minimal market movements.

Remember, not all positions will close in the green (profitably).

Rapid market movements

The market continuously moves because of news, opinions, trends, and political decisions. 

For example:

  • Suppose a central bank announces that it is changing the interest rate. In that case, this suddenly causes considerable movements in the markets, and significant gaps (breaks) in the exchange rate may appear very quickly.
  • A prominent market participant may intentionally cause market ‘pain’, generating a significant downward shift by liquidating specific, more prominent positions.

Sometimes there may be unexpected market movements. Even if you feel like you are constantly watching what is happening, you can never know precisely what will happen in the next few minutes.

What do we suggest for that? 

You may want to use automatic tool systems, such as stop-loss and take profit parameters, to close your positions on time for you. However, it is essential to know that inputting a stop loss does not promise to eradicate the possibility of loss completely; it can only limit how much loss you can suffer.

Market gaps 

Suddenly the exchange rate jumps, which is clearly evident on the chart.

A gap usually occurs after the market closes, but there are situations when the exchange rate reacts to unexpected economic news or events in the case of an open market.

Why is this important? If such an open market gap is created, the set stop loss and take profit levels will only be executed with the closest exchange rate available. An example on the EUR/USD graph:

  • An unusually large weekend gap emerged on this chart
  • There is no bid/ask within the gap, which means that the stop loss placed is only triggered at the nearest exchange rate after the gap.
Risk Management for Forex

The presented gap on the chart shows a negative slide in Forex Trading rules. But, of course, there is also an example where slippage can result in a higher return for the client, since the profit taking has been achieved in a more favourable place.

Risk management tools

Stop loss – know your limits

Prices can move very quickly, especially if the market in a period of volatility or nervousness. Therefore, a well-placed stop loss “reacts” much faster than any manual trader would be able to react, making it one of your most serious risk management tools. 

Countless articles and articles have been written about choosing the proper stop loss, but there is no golden rule that can apply to all traders and their different trades. The appropriate stop loss location for each trade must be determined separately by answering the following questions.

  • What is your trading timeline (just know – for a longer-term position, there may be more volatility)?
  • What is the target price, and when can we expect to reach it?
  • What type of account do I have, and what balance do I have on my current account?
  • Do I currently have any open positions in the market?
  • Is my position size appropriate for my account size, balance, trading timeline, and market situation?
  • What is the general market sentiment (volatility, liquidity, news, external factors)?
  • How long is the market open (e.g. is the weekend is approaching or when will the market closing be happening in the evening)?

Since there is no general rule on setting up a stop-loss, we recommend using a free demo account so that you can learn to get to grips with proper implementation without any real risk happening to you. Here are some trading examples of different stop loss uses. If you have a real account, you can use MT4’s extended trading features in the same way, which displays the risks associated with each stop loss in the specified currency.

Position size

Even the best of traders can experience non-profitable positions. For example, ending with 5-8 out of 10 trades positive is considered a successful ratio in Forex Trading. Therefore, a well-chosen position size is critical to get through any market movement.

Select leverage

As you already know, too much leverage can increase your risk, and even a few negative trades can ruin your good results. So, we want to remind you:

  • To choose the right level of Forex leverage for you, and don’t get in over your head.
  • use our trading calculator in MT4 Supreme or on our website to see different trading situations, which will help you later choose the right position size for your live trading.

External factors

Keep in mind that several external factors can affect your trading strategy on Forex. Such factors:

  • power outage and/or internet connection problem
  • you are busy or hijacked by office work.

Try our trading calculator to practice different trade scenarios.

 (Try the trading calculator)

Be aware of the picture as a whole

Forex and CFD trading can provide substantial profit opportunities when buying or selling. But remember, it can also cause losses if you don’t practice and learn risk management. Identify your weaknesses and manage them. This will be what will help control your losses – even if you have 8-10 winning trades, just one single losing trade can absorb all of those profits.

We know that the psychological factor in a loss-making trade can discourage many novice traders. But it is essential to understand that loss is part of trading. So, before you start your first live trade, understand:

  • Losses are inevitable
  • And know how to process them psychologically before they happen.

This guide is intended to facilitate the trader’s risk management with descriptions and examples. As well as what tips we offer, we ask that you do these two things:

  • Keep this fundamental information in mind as you improve your personal risk management strategy
  • Understand that the information we have provided here will only help you to limit your losses – it will not solve them.

But listen, remember, Forex and CFD trading isn’t Heaven and Hell itself. You can significantly improve your profit/loss ratio for successful trading by selecting the correct risk management methods and applying them consistently.

You can try Forex trading risk free with a demo account. There are many brokers out there that we could recommend, one of which being Etoro.

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HOW TO BE A SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR

HOW TO BE A SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR

Several helpful principles could assist in achieving desired portfolio results and become a successful investor

If you follow, or even at least consider, these nine investment principles, your portfolio will undoubtedly thank you:

  • Invest simply
  • Avoid emotive decisions
  • Keep out-goings low
  • Invest passively
  • Invest long-term
  • Appropriate risk distribution
  • Diversify
  • Be tax efficient
  • Invest regularly

Invest Simply

Although it may seem incorrect, the most straightforward investment solutions are usually the most profitable. Don’t complicate your investment strategy unnecessarily. Invest in such a way that you can understand your own strategy without too much effort.

Even the legendary investor and billionaire – and one of the richest men on the planet – Warren Buffett, followed a simple rule when choosing investments:

He only invested in companies that he understood, and companies whose products he encountered on a daily basis – Coca-Cola, for example.

Avoid Emotive Decisions

The biggest enemies of investments are the investor’s emotions and the so-called mental limitations that are characteristic of all people.

These natural limitations include:

  • Herd mentality

Subordination to mass consensus causes this and stems from the idea that a majority can’t be wrong. However, as history shows, it is one of the most dangerous forms of behaviour in finance, causing events such as bubbles, sell-outs and periods where there is fear of buying markets when they’re low, etc. Stay impartial to the market and be decisive – instead of eager to follow a ‘trend’.

  • Too much self-confidence

People tend to hold themselves in high regard and feel they can handle some things better than other people. To believe the following can be naive and will result in losses: ‘I can outperform the market, even though 99% of investors who have gone before me have not’. Try to keep your ego away from any decision making events.

  • Self-deception

In general, we often tend to (subliminally) choose to pay more attention to information that matches up with our own theories and opinions. Unfortunately, facts that go against our own ideas are likely to be put to ignored. This is also subconscious. Keeping as open of a mind as possible is crucial.

  • Fear of loss

Numerous studies have shown that we experience a surge of serotonin when we reach a profit- causing a positive mood boost. Although, opposite to this, the same studies also show that the fear of loss is three times stronger. Because of this, many people resort to the quick sale of profitable securities and retain loss-making positions. Adopting this strategy is not appropriate investment behaviour and should be avoided.

  • Mental myopia

This may be an unfamiliar term to some. Simply, it means that the small yet essential pieces of information that aren’t as obvious at first glance can be quickly forgotten or not even noticed at all.

Not only this, but current affairs and information that may signal a near-future threat tend to take precedence. Here, decisions are more short-term and can even be impulsive at times. An example of this mentality would be buying while prices are increasing and then selling when the price begins to lose momentum and reverses.

Financial studies have evidenced that a vast majority of individual investors produce lower returns than the market offers due to this series of natural behaviours.

To be successful in financial markets, you should not allow emotions to affect your investment choices. Minimise how much resolution, decision-making and intervention you undertake in periods of heightened emotion.

Keep Out-goings Low

Costs absorb a portion of your profits. The level of cost that you incur is critical to the positive or negative outcome of an investment.

If you want to invest successfully, we aren’t saying to avoid costs altogether, as this is next to impossible if you wish to progress. So, although costs are inevitable, just remember that the lower your expenses are, the higher your potential return could be.

Passive investment in the market

Passive investment would likely be the most optimal way to meet the three previous investment fundamentals successfully.

Passive investing essentially means investing regularly “buy it and forget it”. The advantage of passive investing is that it requires little to no intervention in the portfolio. So it’s more about the “buy and hold” strategy. The strategy does not seek the timing of investments or the selection of specific securities.

You can expect higher returns on passive investment due to reducing the risk of human error, as well as the minimal costs.

Increase your financial knowledge

The easiest way to make any particular investment successful is to take the profits offered by the market. There is a very low probability that you will achieve a higher yield in any other way in the case of a long-term investment.

The only caveat with this is being able to know when to take these profits. Therefore, through experience, you will learn how to best exercise patience and reason to get the most out of your investment when the time comes.

Invest Long-term

There is a saying that goes, “You walk slowly, and you will live longer” This phrase is more relevant in finance than any other aspect of life.

The key to success in investments is the interest rate. Thanks to this, the value of the investment increases faster every year.

Furthermore, the long investment horizon also reduces risk. Financial markets fluctuate from time to time, but they generally have historically moved in the same direction and have increased in the long run. The companies you invest in make billions in profits every year. This profit is always legally reversed in the company’s value (the price of shares), regardless of the market’s current mood.

Speculation is short-sighted, and no billionaire got rich because of it; they made their wealth with successful investment. The natural profitability of financial markets ranges from 8% to 10% per annum.

HOW TO BE A SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR

Logarithmic development graph of the SP500 index for the last 70 years. Average annual growth of 7.8%, with dividend reinvestment 11.34%

You can use TradingView to backtest assets.

A successful investor invests in the long term. They don’t give in to momentary worries or highs and adhere to the investment strategy. Short-term fluctuations in investment do not give rise to changes in their approach.

Appropriate Risk Distribution

To be satisfied with your investment, you need to know your relationship to risk.

The placement of financial assets means the distribution of different investment vehicles. Assets will differ in profitability and the risk associated with them. Historically, the most effective assets are shares, but their prices sometimes fluctuate more than bond prices, which offer lower but more stable profits.

The correct distribution of investments determines your future return and is an essential tool in passive investment.

There is no universally appropriate distribution. It differs for each investment and varies from investor to investor.

Invest like a professional.

There are a few different correlations between investor goals and portfolio composition when it comes to investing. The following strategies show this:

  • Choose more stocks and fewer bonds if you have a longer investment outlook.
  • If you want to invest most of your savings, choose more bonds.
  • If you have a higher appetite for risk, choose more stocks.

Diversification, i.e. the distribution of risk

Allocation is about the composition of an investment’s specific distribution, and diversification refers to its diversity. If you buy shares of 10 major oil companies, they are your allocation, but because the same ‘niche’ is the focus of the products, the portfolio diversification is much lower here. Portfolio diversification is important from several perspectives, especially for passive investment:

Reduces the risk

At some point, you have most likely heard the old saying of not putting all of your eggs in one basket. This saying talks about the fact that all of the eggs will break and therefore be wasted if the basket falls over. This ideology is how you should approach investing. The more assets in the portfolio, the lower the portfolio’s risk (since the loss of one of them is negligible when considering you will still have the rest of your holdings), meaning diversified portfolios are more stable.

Increases yield

No one can certainly predict which asset will have the highest return from year to year and which will have the most significant loss. Every year, the winner or loser is different for each asset class. The effort to invest exclusively in the winners usually produces worse results than the market. Therefore, the choice of a wide variety of devices is the most sensible.

Conditions for passive investment

Passive investment is about investing in the market.

All securities traded on a stock exchange or in that region represents the market.

If you want to invest in the market, it would be most beneficial to build a portfolio that has a similar composition as the market. Doing this would give your portfolio a high level of diversity.

Tax-efficiency

If you want your investment to reach the highest possible income, it is necessary to reduce the tax rate as much as possible.

There are separate categories within which you can find different asset classes and investment methods, along with varying tax pay classes. There are several ways to optimise your tax payments for investments.

It is essential that, when setting up your investment strategy, you keep in mind how it will cause you to be taxed.

Invest regularly

If you don’t have a large amount of savings that you can utilise here, don’t despair. Investing monthly with smaller amounts is perfectly fine – everyone starts somewhere, and it isn’t necessary to put everything on the line to be an investor.

From the point of view of budget planning, it is easier to set aside a small amount per month than to wait for a more significant, one-time capital amount to be put together. It is better to increase the value of your money correctly from the earliest available moment instead of being a bull in a china shop.

Moreover, regular investment is also interesting in terms of risk. When buying securities, you do not have to fear every month that the market will not fall shortly after the investment. A monthly fixed amount of investment reduces risk by buying more shares (cheaper) and vice versa (more expensive). This is known as Dollar Cost Averaging, which we have mentioned in a previous article

Investing regularly is an accessible solution which means that anybody can become an investor in their own right.

Long-term investment: A “How to”

Long-term investment article

Generally speaking, long-term investment is usually a beneficial solution for those who want to increase their money and can spare the money for many years to come.

In general, long-term investments are more profitable than short-term investments. Although, on the other hand, it does still come at a price of its own. Long-term investment requires more experience on the part of the investor.

You shouldn’t rush your purchase, and the product should be carefully selected, as the yield will be influenced solely by the future of the product – This is why we always stand by the DYOR (Do Your Own Research) mentality.

Long-term or short-term investment, which to choose?

  • Compare the best long- and short-term investments available on the market based on maturity, profit and risk.
  • Decide which product is best for you.

Five principles of long-term investment

Before you begin investing, it is crucial to be aware of the aspects that will help you make the best decisions.

1. Choose an investment that will satisfy your goals

When you invest your money, you need to know how much risk you can take. You must select the product according to your own needs.

2. Invest in multiple products

The more products you buy, the more confident you can be that you won’t lose your money to a company. Diversification usually results in a lower risk.

3. Don’t try to time

Many people want to invest with the buy low and sell high strategy. However, such timing is risky and often gives experienced investors a hard time.

4. Shop as planned at regular intervals

Regular investment is a well-established technique. The basic concept is to divide the amount you want to invest into several parts and invest the capital at predetermined intervals.

Experience has shown that this technique makes it cheaper to obtain shares overall. This is known as dollar cost averaging

5. Check your investments

You should look at your portfolio at least once a month. The market is constantly changing, so the balance between your products can easily be upset. If you notice this, it is recommended that you redistribute the amount invested..

How can I invest?

There are many different ways a person can invest to shape and build their portfolio. However, as there are distinct differences between the available products, it can be overwhelming to choose which ones to allocate capital.

Here, we have put together short explanations of each product you will see most often:

Shares

Minimum capital: From $1 You can start even with a small amount as you can even buy just a fraction of a share

Possible profit: very high

Time horizon: 5+ years

Savvy: very high

Risk: very high

Stocks are one of the most popular types of investment. Many people buy shares because there is a large amount to choose from and everyone can likely find a suitable product for them. Stock investment can be beneficial in both the short term and the long term.

The biggest problem with securities like this is that they can be risky. Many factors influence the value of the shares. For example, the company could go bankrupt casing you to lose your entire investment.

If you decide to buy shares, we recommend you diversify by buying shares in several companies instead of just one.

Long-term investment shares

S&P 500 index growth from 1981 to 2021. This includes the value of the largest 500 companies in the United States.

Property

Minimum capital: over $100,000

Possible profit: high

Time horizon: 10+ years

Savvy: medium

Risk: medium

Real estate can be a profitable long-term investment. There will always be demand for it, so you can be sure that a property will likely hold its value in the future.

When buying real estate, it is worth considering several aspects. Your chances for success will likely be higher if you purchase real estate in a developing city, in a popular neighbourhood.

An apartment can potentially be a lucrative passive income when run correctly. Why – because if you rent it out, you can make a profit long-term, continuously, not just from a single, one-time sale.

Investment fund

Minimum capital: $1,000 to $10,000

Possible gain: medium

Time horizon: 1-5 years

Savvy: low

Risk: high

An investment fund can benefit people who want to save long-term but are less knowledgeable about the market.

Experienced investors manage this fund and will invest your money in different products. They get a small contribution from the profits but, in return, they help you put your money in the right places.

Anyone who buys into an investment fund can choose an open and closed-end contract. The open-ended contract can be sold at any time, but the closed-end fund can only be redeemed at the end of the term.

Risk:

Although experienced investors manage money for a living, they too can also make bad decisions. So, keep in mind that an investment fund is sometimes almost as risky as buying securities yourself.

Bitcoin

Minimum capital: From $1 You can start even with a small amount as you can even buy just a fraction of a Bitcoin called Satoshi

Possible profit: very high

Timescale: 1+ months

Savvy: very high

Risk: very high

Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency and is considered to be the most popular. By design, it helps people to store their money in a secure, location separate from the bank in their own crypto currency wallet that only they have access to and no-one can control it but we will talk about this in a separate topic.

Because of its popularity, many investors choose to trade with Bitcoin, this is evident when looking at price increase patterns. Bitcoin is being adopted as a currency by more and more businesses, but the future of virtual currency is still not known.

Bitcoin chart

Bitcoin has increased over the years. The price is expressed in US dollars (USD).

We only recommend cryptocurrency investing for individuals who have some experience and/or are aware of the risks involved.

ETF

Minimum capital: $1,000 to $10,000

Possible profit: high

Time horizon: 1-5 years

Savvy: low

Risk: medium

ETFs are exchange-traded investment funds. An ETF includes several securities, primarily shares of similar companies.

Because it invests in multiple products simultaneously, it is safer than a single stock, but it also has a lower yield.  For this reason, shares are usually bought by those who think in the long term.

By purchasing an ETF, you would be investing in the product behind the investment fund. An ETF can be more than just a security; it can also be a commodity. Most ETFs are index trackers.

Commodities

Minimum capital: $1,000 to $10,000

Possible profit: very high

Time horizon: 5-10 years

Savvy: very high

Risk: very high

Many people think that some commodities products aren’t profitable. In contrast, various raw materials and essential products can be an excellent long-term investment.

There are several ways to invest in such products. The easiest way is to buy the goods or choose a suitable aforementioned ETF.

Risk:

In the case of commodities products, risk must be taken into account due to the government’s and economy’s heavy influence on the market.

Benefits of long-term investment

> In most cases this form of investment produces a positive return.

> The best weapon against recession.

> It can require little effort and little attention when ran well.

>You can use profits to reinvest back into the asset.

> Long-term yields will not be affected by temporary fluctuations.

Disadvantages of long-term investment

> It takes a lot of patience.

> It is more difficult to diversify than with short-term investments.

> It demands determination and commitment.

> It’s hard to know which investment would be worth it the most.

> To choose a good product, you need experience.

Pay attention to this in case of long-term investment

Before you decide to invest in the long term, you may want to be aware of a few things.

  • Don’t have unrealistic expectations. Long-term investments only develop over time, so don’t expect an immediate return.
  • Take the risk. Like all investments, long-term alternatives are risky.
  • You need knowledge. It is not worth starting the investment hot-headedly, and long-term investments require both experience and strong research.
  • Optimize your investment. If you’re thinking long-term, it’s worth keeping your money in more products.

Misconceptions

There are some misconceptions that novice investors often misjudge. We want to take the chance to correct some of these misconceptions for you, because:

  • Shares do not always yield high returns in the long term
  • Bonds can sometimes out-perform shares
  • You don’t have to wait for the market’s “lows” to invest
  • You may not benefit if you leave your money to experts
  • Investment should not be based only on past returns
  • The chance that you may lose the amount invested, indeed exists

Before you invest your money, consider the fact that this money will be written off and is ‘no longer yours’ and that this could last for years, or even decades. So never invest more than what you can afford.

If losing the amount invested would result in financial difficulties, you’ll probably have to reduce it. This also includes utilization of personal loans which, a lot of the time, is not a wise move in the long term – only invest if YOU can!

Before deciding, think about the worst-case scenario since, with this, you can assess your potential situation including any negative consequences, making a sensible decision easier to achieve.

Where and how can I invest?

  • If you want to invest in real estate, you need to look for an apartment or house on the market.
  • If you would like to invest into a bank deposit, contact your bank.
  • If you were to buy a security or cryptocurrency, it is easiest to do this through an online broker.

If you are looking for such a platform, we recommend eToro to you. eToro is one of the most popular online brokers; their services are available both on mobile and PC.

Investing in eToro

Anyone can use eToro, and CopyTrading makes it an excellent choice for novice investors.

Registration takes a few minutes, but you will need to verify your identity after completing your user profile. To do this, you will need a scanned, document.

On the site you can choose from several products, such as:

  • Shares
  • cryptocurrencies
  • ETFs
  • CFDs
  • Indexes

Once you’ve confirmed your user account and deposited into your account, you can purchase any product. The use of eToro is entirely free of charge and there are no hidden fees.

$100,000 demo account

Novice investors will receive a demo account. The preliminary account allows you to test the site and gives you some experience of the market. Making it easier to decide what product(s) you want to buy later with the demo account.

CopyTrading

CopyTrading is one of the most popular services on eToro. Here you are able to replicate the movements of a more experienced investor, gaining further insight into market strategy at the same time – all whilst hopefully making a profit when they make good decisions.

The risk must be taken into account

Successful investors also make bad decisions, so don’t expect CopyTrading to relieve you of the risk of investing.

Before choosing CopyTrading, be sure to check investors’ listings. Their profile contains valuable information, including how much their past investments have come out good.

eToro gives you every opportunity to make the right decision.

How do I create an account on eToro? – eToro

Synopsis

Long-term investment requires a lot of commitment, as well as patience, but more often than not this waiting will bear fruit. There are plenty of opportunities for long-term investment in the market; you just need to find the solution that suits you best.

Don’t forget the following:

If you’re a novice investor, try your luck with a smaller amount first.

Before investing long term, it is necessary to heavily consider what kind of product to buy and why any particular one would suit your portfolio.

If you decide to invest in something with a high risk factor, it would likely be a good idea to consult an expert before going ahead.

Only risk as much as you can comfortably lose.

Every investment is done at your own risk and past performance may not always be a reliable indicator of future results. It is never a certainty that an investment will pay off and so careful management is important.

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The fate of 2022 could be determined by the battle of two global giants United states and China.

the two super power flags

Strained relations between the United States and China over Taiwan could be one of the biggest challenges in Asia in 2022, CNBC writes.

One reason, according to the head of longview global advisors, is that Beijing treats every single American manifestation in Taiwan as if it were harming its interests.

An expert directly compared the relationship between the two great powers United States and China to the conditions of The Cold War.

United States and China
United States and China

This was only made worse by the National Defense Authorization Act passed late last year (2021) which set aside, among other things, $7.1 billion for the Pacific deterrent. They also adopted a congressional declaration expressing U.S. support for Taiwan. China considers the island, which has had its own self-government for decades, as part of its own territory and its often stated goal is to unify the country.

In the midst of the rivalry between Washington and Beijing, the most difficult situation will be those Asian countries that seek to balance the two major powers. The big question from this point of view is what the scales of this year’s Winter Olympics in Beijing will look like. The United States has already indicated that it will boycott the event at a diplomatic level, meaning that its athletes will be present, but no one will represent Washington in an official capacity. It is not yet clear whether other countries can follow the example of the United States, but the Chinese advance in recent years has infuriated several countries in the region.

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CAN CAPITAL MARKETS SAVE THE EARTH FROM THE CLIMATE CATASTROPHE?

green sustainable environment

In the vast majority, capital markets have not yet taken into account the risks of climate catastrophe, and only 14 percent of the experts surveyed believe that the risks are integrated into prices. The rise of green portfolios is also slowed by regulatory inconsistencies. However, the catalyst for change could be the recently concluded COP26 conference and government green programmes, according to recent research by KPMG.

What Research was Carried Out?

KPMG, CREATE-Research and the CAIA Association compiled a global survey entitled “Can capital markets save the planet?” based on interviews with almost 100 managers of investment firms and pension funds that manage $34.5 trillion.

What Were The Research Findings?

The research found that while capital markets attract a lot of capital, they cannot effectively price in the risks of climate change due to political, regulatory contradictions and insufficiently transparent financial impacts – and only 14 percent of those surveyed believe otherwise. For alternative investments, this figure is 11 per cent and for bonds it is only 8 per cent..

It is important to note that pricing climate risks is more clearly visible within the energy sector than it is noticeable in projects that are more capital intensive. This is because market access takes a long time.

Does Anything Affect The Research?

The biggest obstacle seems to be that, due to the nature of climate research, the impact of climate change on GDP is difficult to predict. The fundamental reason for this is that there is no similar historical history or experience of how our economic and financial systems can or will respond to these effects. The problem is compounded by the fact that governments and authorities that are supposed to support reducing CARBON emissions often do not move on a ‘trajectory’.

“For the time being, real action is well behind the definitions, so the potential and risks of climate change remain difficult to price

– Gergő Wieder, senior manager at KPMG.

To date, no country has introduced rules that adequately integrate environmental and social costs into companies’ financial reports, especially in a way that supports the pricing of climate risks. For this reason, the financing of market-based incentives and technologies to reduce CO2 emissions is progressing slowly. Development is also hampered by the lack of uniform pricing of emission quotas, which continue to play an important role in addressing the effects of climate change.

A Green Ray Of Hope

However, two events could be a turning point in this area. One is the green turnaround of the world’s major economies, which includes, among other things, the adoption of clean energy standards, the mandatory reporting of the carbon footprint for stock market companies, and the review of pension fund investments on the basis of ESG (environmental, social and governance) aspects. The other is the COP26 conference organised by the UNITED NATIONS.

What Changes Are Likely To Happen to avoid a climate catastrophe?

84 per cent of those surveyed said the Glasgow meeting would be followed by more coordinated intergovernmental measures and capital markets were preparing for expected progress in the three key areas – output pricing, alternative energy production and mandatory reporting.

When asked whether capital markets would start pricing in climate risks at a higher rate, 42 percent of respondents said yes, while 30 percent said they might, while 28 percent did not believe. More than 60 percent of respondents expect a shift towards pricing climate risks in all asset classes over the next three years.

The Drawback

The research notes that it requires huge, coordinated political efforts and support to steer trillions of dollars of investment towards carbon-reducing technologies. Some respondents fear that, in the absence of concerted action, current political trends will continue to allow risks to recover in the global financial system, at which point the ‘Minsky moment’ may occur – i.e. the price of securities may suddenly collapse as a result of a panic.

GDP = gross domestic product:

Gross domestic product (GDP) is a measurement that seeks to capture a country’s economic output. Countries with larger GDPs will have a greater amount of goods and services generated within them, and will generally have a higher standard of living.- www.investopedia.com

climate catastrophe
CLIMATE CATASTROPHE

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